FYI Quick Read…

A follow-up to my recent post about the shrinking “distressed share” (9/5). Alejandro Lazo of the LA Times reports that “a San Diego real estate investment firm has won an auction of nearly 700 homes owned by Fannie Mae in Florida.” How does this impact our local market? Because banks like Fannie are national entities. As they shed bad assets, mortgage lenders will seek to replenish that business in greener pastures like LA County, where the market is already well into its turnaround.

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FYI Quick Read…

E. Scott Reckard of the LA Times reports that “the latest frenzy of mortgage refinancings has benefited millions of Americans.” But he also points out that many haven’t done all they can to secure the very best rate. I work with mortgage brokers almost every day. If you need advice on your loan, refi or any other matters related to your home, don’t hesitate to get in touch. I’m happy to assist you in any way I can.

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You Should Know: Distressed Share

Where are all the bargains, anyway? I get asked that question a lot, usually by my buyers who are looking for a deal — and who wouldn’t be? Everyone wants to pay less for their house, and if there’s a bargain out there believe me I’ll find it for you. But the opportunities these days are precious and few, and when they do pop up a bidding war is the frequent result. Bye-bye bargain.

So what happened? Where’s the “shadow inventory” of foreclosed homes that banks were supposedly sitting on, just waiting for the right time to flood the market? The answer varies by region, but here in LA County, thousands of foreclosed properties have already been packaged by banks and quietly sold off to institutional investors. Read this informative article by the Wall Street Journal’s Nick Timiraos. He talks about the downward-shifting ratio of the “distressed share,” ie. the percentage of bank-owned or bank-involved properties like foreclosures and short sales. The smaller that number gets, the healthier the market. But bargains, it seems, will only get harder to find.

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Photo of an unfinished housing development courtesy of Boston.com and Google Earth

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FYI Quick Read (x2)…

Tiffany Hsu of the LA Times reports today that home prices were up 3.8% in July, their largest year-over-year leap since 2006. “The real estate market is ‘clearly seeing the light at the end of a very long tunnel,’ said CoreLogic Chief Executive Anand Nallathambi.”

 

And Vickie Elmer of the NY Times writes that, with interest rates remaining so low, homeowners have been trading out of their “jumbo” mortgages to refinance into conventional loans. “‘It’s an opportunity not to be missed,’ said Melissa Cohn, the chief executive of the Manhattan Mortgage Company, adding that her customers like the idea of locking in a lower rate.”


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FYI Quick Read…

An article in the LA Times this morning by Jim Puzzanghera illustrates that U.S. home prices rose 2.3% in June in the nation’s largest cities — the fourth straight monthly increase. “We seem to be witnessing exactly what we needed for a sustained recovery: monthly increases coupled with improving annual rates of change,” said David M. Blitzer, chair of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “The market may have finally turned around.”

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Print Out Your Home and Snap it Together

Sounds far fetched, right? Well read this article on the Fast Company Design website about a very cool “kit” house near Copenhagen, DK. Using digital fabrication and a rapid-prototyping machine, it was built in just six weeks at a cost of $300,000.

“The benefit of the technique is that it cuts back on many of the environmentally unsustainable practices of standard residential construction,” writes Suzanne Labarre in her piece. “The next step, the architects say, is to offer on-site, digitally fabricated houses to the public.”

Keep your eyes out for vacant lots, people. I know I will.

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Photos courtesy of eentileen architecture, Facit Homes and Fast Company Design

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Prices ⇡ Inventory ⇣

The LA Times’ Alejandro Lazo reports this morning that regional prices hit a four year high as buyers compete for fewer and fewer homes in “desirable” neighborhoods (like prime Silver Lake, shown above). I’ve been talking about this for weeks now. Speaking from the trenches of local real estate, I’ve seen that low inventory, even in “up-and-coming” neighborhoods, has created fierce competition. Houses that look good and are priced well sell quickly, like my recent listing on Hill Street in Eagle Rock that had an all-out bidding war. So I will reiterate that now is a great time to sell. For an expert and always-complimentary price opinion, get in touch with me here. And if you’d like to see the very cool Silver Lake house pictured above (list price just over $1.6M) I’m happy to arrange it.

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Listing courtesy of Andrew Morrison, Sotheby’s Int’l Realty, Los Feliz

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More from the Big Picture

Joe Light has an article in the WSJonline today titled “Is the Real Estate Rebound for Real?” Happily his findings are yes, at least according to Warren Buffet and a host of portfolio managers who are bullish for r/e related holdings. The article cites a key indicator in our trade where we look at the inventory of new, single-family homes. Six months is a tipping point — meaning — if the number of available homes could be sold in less than six months, that tells us we’re in a strong market (the opposite being true if it would take more than six months to sell those homes). So the skies in the big housing picture continue to brighten and local inventory remains low. Some of you sellers out there might be waiting to see a bit more “upside” before bringing your property to market. However I will caution that if interest rates rise (as they did this past week, slightly) then the time to sell your house is now, in this market where sellers are rare and buyers plentiful.

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Photo of the Kentfield Hillside Residence courtesy of Turnbull Griffin Haesloop Architects and Arch Daily

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It’s Getting Better All the Time

Home prices in the nation’s 20 biggest cities improved again in May, strongly in fact, according to the Case-Shiller index and reported here by Alejandro Lazo of the LA Times. The graphic above is a current snapshot of the median price paid in California by county — also an improvement from numbers we’ve seen in previous months.

An uptick over two consecutive months (April, May) is certainly good news. The flipside — i.e. the problem I’m seeing — is our continuing lack of local inventory. Buyers I’m working with are eager to find their house, understandable because they don’t want prices to keep going up. Yet they find themselves in a growing pool, with increased competition for the best homes, many of which are selling in multiple-offer bidding wars.

Sellers: I cannot overstate how good a time this is to get your house on the market!

If you have even considering selling, or would like to simply “test the waters,” get in touch with me here. I have a long, proven track record selling houses, and several instances where I set neighborhood records for price-earned-per-sq.-foot. I will give you a carefully considered, complimentary valuation on your property. If the numbers make sense, you can make an educated decision about what to do next. Believe me, the buyers are out there.

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Graphic courtesy of the California Association of Realtors.

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